December 5 2001 The New York Times

Report: 500, 000 Mexicans Coming to US/ By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS / Filed at 6:24 a.m. ET

MEXICO CITY (AP) -- As many as a half-million Mexicans will migrate to the United States each year over the next 30 years, according to a new government report that also predicts that the flow of people from south to north will be slowed slightly by improved economics in Mexico.

The report, compiled by the National Population Council and issued Tuesday, predicted there could be 18.2 million Mexicans living in the United States by 2030. That is based on some 400,000 to 500,000 coming each year.

Of the 8 million Mexicans who currently live in the United States, the report said, some 3 million crossed the border illegally. The U.S. population also includes more than 14 million people who are descendants of Mexican immigrants, it states.

``Migration between Mexico and the United States is a permanent, structural phenomenon,'' it states. ``It is built on real factors, ranging from geography, economic inequality and integration, and the intense relationship between the two countries, that make it inevitable.''

The latest round of migrants increasingly include women and migrants more willing to make multiple attempts at crossing. It will also include more people from southern Mexico who have never tried to cross the border before.

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