yearning to breathe free," but providing an ample labor supply. "It's
all become an issue of the price of labor -- how it will be
regulated, and how much it will cost employers," says Lourdes
Gouveia, who studies immigration at the University of Nebraska in
Omaha.
    There's no reason to believe that the flow of people across
the border will stop, or can be stopped by draconian enforcement.
According to Geneva-based Migrant Watch, migration is not just a
US/Mexico phenomenon.  Worldwide, over 130 million people live
outside the countries in which they were born.  And for the US and
Mexico, immigration is a permanent fact of life, according to
Mexico's National Population Council, which concludes that by 2030
the Mexican-born U.S. population will at least double to 16 million
to 18 million. "Migration between Mexico and the United States is a
permanent, structural phenomenon," it reports. "It is built on real
factors, ranging from geography, economic inequality and integration,
and the intense relationship between the two countries, that make it
inevitable."
    Immigration policy doesn't affect the number of people coming
across so much as their status once they're here.  And key to that
status is the ability of immigrant workers to organize.  The
difficulties faced by guest workers who want to do that is the basis
for AFL-CIO opposition to the expansion of existing programs.  The
federation calls instead for labor protections within those programs
that already exist.
    But John Wilhelm, president of the Hotel Employees Restaurant
Employees International Union, who also heads the AFL-CIO's
immigration committee, says "I don't think it's possible to have
labor protections for contract workers."  Pointing to the fact that
even among US citizen workers, one in twenty lose their job in the
course of union organizing campaigns, he concludes that "to think the
law will protect people whose right to stay in the country ends with
their job is not living in the real world."  If guest worker programs
expand, "tens of thousands of workers would be [made] hostage, and
ultimately destroy wage and working conditions in the hospitality
industry," he adds.  Last year, the union's convention called instead
for a broad legalization and citizenship program, and for repealing
employer sanctions.  That reflects the position the AFL-CIO itself
adopted in 1998 in an historic shift towards a new pro-immigrant
policy.
    The debate in Washington, however, revolves not around what
workers want, but over what is possible under a Republican
administration, with Republican control of the House of
Representatives.  Despite recent efforts by Bush to reach out to more
conservative unions in the AFL-CIO, labor has little to no traction
with the administration around guest workers and amnesty.
    Last year, unions interested in amnesty tried to convince the
Mexican government to advocate that position in negotiations with
Bush. In June, Wilhelm, UFW President Arturo Rodriguez and other
labor leaders went to Mexico City to talk to Fox.  "We said we were
inalterably opposed to guest worker programs," Wilhelm recalled.  "We
don't want any program in which a worker's immigration status is
attached to their job, and where there is no realistic path to
legalization."  After the talks were over, Rodriguez told the press
that "we've made it clear that without legalization there will be no
new guest worker program or revision of the current guest worker. [Continue....]

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